Project Description

Consulting module “Business case and scenarios”

A well-founded business case is the prerequisite for investing in energy infrastructure. It determines the feasibility, eligibility for funding and budget compliance of a project – from the initial idea through to operation. Heating network projects in particular are under high financing pressure: they are capital-intensive, long-term and operationally complex. Only with a viable business case can investors be convinced, subsidies secured and project responsibility assumed. What we develop:

  • a resilient corporate and financing structure

  • Life cycle-based economic feasibility studies

  • Model approaches of technical variants with cost-benefit comparison

  • Scenarios for construction and operating costs and integration of subsidies

  • a standardized data structure that enables integrated evaluation, planning and simulation

  • Current regulatory and political framework conditions

Scope of the module

EXAVY develops robust, investor-ready business cases – from preliminary technical planning to operational profitability calculations. We simulate project variants, consolidate all assumptions in a consistent model and ensure budget compliance through forward-looking structuring and risk analysis.

  • Company, financing and investment options

  • Profitability model & project structure

    • Consolidation of all assumptions (grid, generation, financing, operation)
    • LCOH calculation (Levelized Cost of Heat)
    • Project structuring according to SPV, cooperative or contracting model

  • Variant analysis & budget framework

    • Comparison of technical variants (e.g. cold grid vs. high-temperature grid)
    • Project cost framework with construction, operating and dismantling costs
    • Cash flow model incl. interest, repayment, subsidies, investment income

  • Financing capability & investor capability

    • Development of financial plans suitable for investors
    • Scenarios for co-investors, public participation or sale & leaseback
    • Preparation of documents for banks, funding agencies, investment companies

  • Integration of subsidies & grants

    • Assessment of BEW eligibility (modules 1-3)
    • Proof of eligibility (e.g. primary energy factor, RE share)
    • Interface planning for applying for funding and verifying the use of funds

  • Management system for controlling & budget tracking

    • Proposal for an adequate management system and budget controlling system (plan/actual comparison)
    • Proposal on risk management system and stressors (e.g. increase in construction costs, delays)
    • Proposal for business planning procedures, milestones and decision-making processes

Promise of results: Clarity on profitability, financing and performance management

  • a robust business case that convinces funding bodies, investors and committees

  • a budget structure that ensures realistic target values – even in volatile markets

  • a holistic financial model that integrates funding, capital structure and operations

  • a planning tool that ensures financial resilience over 20-40 years

  • Pre-project planning for applications, investments or co-investors